L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 2–1 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 54.16%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.199%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.234%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%54.03%54.26%55.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.761.751.8559.17%56.72%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.84%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.70%45.97%45.74%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.092.102.1550.51%47.92%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:24
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:24
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.43%E -0.784%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 21:34
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 13:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:24
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:23
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 22:09
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 19:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 18:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 06:20
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 21:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 19:19
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:35
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:05
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:25
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:25
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 20:28
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:35
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:01
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 20:14
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 19:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 20:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.47%E -5.01%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-15 22:39
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-15 22:14
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-15 22:39
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-15 22:19
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-04-15 22:39