Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 2–1 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 54.16%1.85odd justa
EV +0.199%
Vantagem +0.107%
Kelly +0.234%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%54.03%54.26%55.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.761.751.8559.17%56.72%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 45.84%2.18odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.673%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%45.97%45.74%47.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.092.102.1550.51%47.92%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 54.16%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 45.84%. Para Detroit Tigers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.846. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.850, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.199%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.199%E +0.107%K +0.234%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:39
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.885%E -0.483%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:24
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.43%E -0.784%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 21:34
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 13:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 06:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 19:19
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:05
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.11%E -2.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.68%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 20:28
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.82%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:01
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.32%E -4.16%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 20:14
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.45%E -0.673%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.91%E -0.890%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 19:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 21:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.93%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.47%E -5.01%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-15 22:39
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-15 22:39
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-15 22:14
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-15 22:39
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-15 22:19
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-04-15 22:39