Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV +0.588%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.93%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0554.05%50.93%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 50.93%1.96fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.07%51.05%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.871.9456.18%53.84%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 49.07%; Houston Astros (Visit): 50.93%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.588%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.881%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-28 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.42%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 17:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 17:30 |