La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–7 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 49.07%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.588%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%48.93%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.0554.05%50.93%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 50.93%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.614%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.07%51.05%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.861.871.9456.18%53.84%53.48%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 17:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:39
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:19
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:39
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:09
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:19
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.881%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 17:09
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:29
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-28 17:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:49
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:39
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:40
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:28
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-28 17:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-06-28 17:30