A Escola das Odds

Detroit Tigers v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 5–7 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 49.07%2.04odd justa
EV +0.588%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%48.93%48.95%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.961.952.0554.05%50.93%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 50.93%1.96odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.614%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.07%51.05%53.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.861.871.9456.18%53.84%53.48%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 17:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.588%E +0.287%K +0.560%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:09
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.884%E -0.437%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 17:39
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:10
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.86%E -0.932%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:39
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:19
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:39
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:09
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.19%E -0.614%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:19
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.881%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 17:09
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:29
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-28 17:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:49
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 17:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.32%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 17:39
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:39
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 17:40
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.42%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.24%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:28
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-28 17:30
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-28 17:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-28 17:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-06-28 17:30