Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.35%56.49%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7560.98%58.99%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV -0.334%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.259%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%43.65%43.51%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.192.2947.62%45.73%45.66%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 56.48%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 43.52%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -0.334%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.20%E -0.531%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.769%E -0.337%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.334%E -0.146%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-11 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 22:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 19:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 22:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 19:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 20:40 |