Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-11 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 53.49%1.87fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.43%53.52%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8358.14%55.95%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 46.51%2.15fair odd
EV -0.004%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.57%46.48%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.052.052.1550.76%48.81%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Tigers (Local): 53.49%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 46.51%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.1501. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.1500, with an expected value of -0.004%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 21:29
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 20:43
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.52%E -3.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:55
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.86%E -0.884%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 21:35
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.004%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.934%E -0.439%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.934%E -0.439%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.79%E -2.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 21:24
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 00:59
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 19:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 00:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 00:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:58
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-10 19:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-10 21:20
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 00:59
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 01:00
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-10 23:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%9.8%2026-08-11 01:20

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