默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Detroit Tigers 6–4 Cleveland Guardians

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers (主队)

预测 56.48%1.77公平赔率
EV -1.16%
优势 -0.665%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.97%56.35%56.49%57.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.701.701.7560.98%58.99%58.82%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 43.52%2.30公平赔率
EV -0.334%
优势 -0.146%
Kelly -0.259%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
42.75%43.65%43.51%45.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.192.2947.62%45.73%45.66%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Detroit Tigers (主队):56.48%;Cleveland Guardians (客队):43.52%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.30。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.29,期望值为-0.334%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 19:34
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:15
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.20%E -0.531%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 21:29
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 22:24
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.769%E -0.337%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.334%E -0.146%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-11 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-11 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 21:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 22:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:24
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 22:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 22:23
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:51
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 22:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 22:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-11 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:39
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 19:25
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-11 22:40
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-11 22:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-11 22:30
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-11 20:40