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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-11 22:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers (主队)

预测 53.32%1.88公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
52.22%53.27%53.32%54.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.83%55.56%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 46.68%2.14公平赔率
EV +0.361%
优势 +0.168%
Kelly +0.314%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
45.57%46.73%46.68%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.042.042.1551.02%49.03%49.02%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Detroit Tigers (主队)：53.32%；Cleveland Guardians (客队)：46.68%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.15，由此产生+0.361%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.361%E +0.168%K +0.314%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-11 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.573%E -0.269%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.573%E -0.269%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 00:59
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.51%E -0.714%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 00:59
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.939%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 21:29
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.939%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 20:43
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%EV -1.97%E -0.939%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 21:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 01:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 01:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 01:53
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.17%E -3.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 20:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 01:50
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 01:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 01:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 01:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 01:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-10 19:05
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-10 21:20
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 00:59
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 02:05
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-10 23:55
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-08-11 02:05

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