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Detroit Tigers v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-08-11 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 6–4 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 56.48%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.35%56.49%57.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.701.701.7560.98%58.99%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.334%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.259%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.75%43.65%43.51%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.192.2947.62%45.73%45.66%43.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Tigers (Local): 56.48%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 43.52%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.30. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.29, con un valor esperado de -0.334%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.16%E -0.665%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 19:34
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.73%E -0.994%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:15
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.20%E -0.531%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 21:29
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.29%E -1.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 22:24
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.769%E -0.337%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.86%E -1.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.334%E -0.146%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-11 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-11 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 21:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:29
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.42%E -2.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.38%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 22:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:24
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.99%E -2.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.07%E -0.922%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 22:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 22:23
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.55%E -2.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:10
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:51
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.12%E -2.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.12%E -3.05%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 22:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.68%E -3.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.25%E -3.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.81%E -4.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.38%E -4.50%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 22:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-11 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-11 21:39
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 19:25
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-11 22:40
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-11 22:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-11 22:30
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-11 20:40