The School of Odds

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-28 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 56.47%1.77fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.50%56.44%57.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.29%59.17%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 43.53%2.30fair odd
EV +0.123%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.50%43.56%44.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.192.3048.78%45.84%45.66%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.123%E +0.054%K +0.095%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 17:50
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.18%E -0.521%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.18%E -0.521%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.18%E -0.675%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.92%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:08
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:29
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.67%E -2.13%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.67%E -2.13%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:03
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.57%E -2.70%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:04
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:05
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:05
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.87%E -1.67%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:05
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.13%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:40
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 20:04
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 20:03
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 17:50
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-27 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-27 20:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%6.4%2026-07-27 20:35
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%10.3%2026-07-27 20:05