La escuela de los momios

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-28 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Predicción 56.44%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.49%56.43%57.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.27%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 43.56%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.182%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%43.51%43.57%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.83%45.56%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.182%E +0.079%K +0.140%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 17:50
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.13%E -0.496%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.13%E -0.496%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.887%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.23%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:08
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 21:15
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:05
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:29
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:03
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:04
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.92%E -2.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:05
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 20:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:05
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:40
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 20:04
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 20:03
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 17:50
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-27 21:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-27 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-27 20:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-07-27 21:35