Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-07-28 22:41 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 14–0 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 56.90%1.76odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%56.87%57.00%57.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7261.73%59.64%59.52%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 43.10%2.32odd justa
EV +0.434%
Vantagem +0.186%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.04%43.13%43.00%44.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.222.222.3346.51%45.03%45.05%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 56.90%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 43.10%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.434%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.434%E +0.186%K +0.327%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-28 22:29
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.859%E -0.373%K -0.661%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 22:39
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.14%E -1.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.72%E -0.755%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.14%E -1.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.72%E -0.755%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.15%E -0.948%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.15%E -0.948%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.15%E -0.948%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 22:39
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.58%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 22:39
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.58%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 22:32
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 21:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 21:15
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.69%E -4.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:39
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.44%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:24
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:34
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:34
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.88%E -1.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.31%E -1.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.71%E -1.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 23:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 04:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 08:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:29
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:24
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 08:44
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 04:30
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 21:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 12:34
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.60%E -2.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 22:34
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.03%E -2.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.03%E -2.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:38
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.83%E -4.83%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.89%E -3.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 22:34
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.55%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-28 22:39
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-07-28 22:34
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-28 18:35
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-28 21:49
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-07-28 22:40
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-07-28 22:39
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-28 22:39