Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 62.92%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 37.08%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.625%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.11%E -0.799%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -0.625%E -0.233%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 17:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 16:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.08%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -10.27%E -4.24%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.96%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.75%E -4.94%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.25%E -4.19%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -6.93%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.51%E -5.11%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.14%E -5.57%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.40%E -6.52%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 62.15% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.85% | -0.7% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79% | 11.1% | 2026-07-29 17:10 |
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