The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-29 17:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.30%60.15%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6265.36%63.15%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.70%39.85%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.70%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.21%E -0.490%K -0.820%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 18:04
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 17:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 19:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 18:40
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.38%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:04
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.60%E -1.49%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 18:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 18:29
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:34
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:39
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:03
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:39
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 18:04
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 18:44
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.60%E -1.49%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:39
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 18:38
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 18:39
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 18:35
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 18:40
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.417%E -0.167%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.38%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-28 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.38%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-28 18:40
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.01%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.41%E -0.983%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 19:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-28 18:04
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%6.9%2026-07-28 19:30
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%10.0%2026-07-28 18:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%13.0%2026-07-28 18:24