Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-07-29 17:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Tigers 9–10 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Previsão 62.92%1.59odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.21%62.79%62.95%64.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.14%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 37.08%2.70odd justa
EV -0.625%
Vantagem -0.233%
Kelly -0.372%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.21%37.21%37.05%38.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.552.552.6842.02%39.21%39.22%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Tigers (Local): 62.92%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 37.08%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.70. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.68, com valor esperado de -0.625%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.11%E -0.799%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 17:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -0.625%E -0.233%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-29 16:05
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 16:25
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-29 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 16:10
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 17:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 16:15
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 17:05
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.08%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -10.27%E -4.24%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 17:10
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.96%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:08
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.75%E -4.94%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.25%E -4.19%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -6.93%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.51%E -5.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.14%E -5.57%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.40%E -6.52%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 62.15%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.85%-0.7%2026-07-29 17:10
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-29 17:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-29 16:25
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%3.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%11.1%2026-07-29 17:10