Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-29 17:11 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 9–10 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 62.92%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.21%62.79%62.95%64.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.14%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.08%2.70cote équitable
EV -0.625%
Avantage -0.233%
Kelly -0.372%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%37.21%37.05%38.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.552.552.6842.02%39.21%39.22%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Detroit Tigers (Local) : 62.92% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 37.08%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.70. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.68, pour une espérance de -0.625% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -2.11%E -0.799%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 17:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.47%E -1.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -0.625%E -0.233%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-29 16:05
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-29 16:25
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-29 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 16:10
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 17:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 16:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 16:15
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.48%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 17:05
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.08%E -1.98%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -4.99%E -3.31%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -10.27%E -4.24%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 17:10
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.85%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.96%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:08
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 16:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.90%E -4.07%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.62%E -3.75%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.75%E -4.94%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.25%E -4.19%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.33%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.59%E -1.38%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -6.93%E -2.76%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.88%E -4.65%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.04%E -3.24%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.51%E -5.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.30%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -8.14%E -5.57%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.15%E -3.74%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.40%E -6.52%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.74%E -0.656%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 62.15%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.85%-0.7%2026-07-29 17:10
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-07-29 17:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-29 17:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-29 17:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-29 16:25
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%3.4%2026-07-29 16:15
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%11.1%2026-07-29 17:10