Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 49.92%2.00fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%49.93%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.34%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 50.08%2.00fair odd
EV +0.167%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.167%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.07%50.00%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.51%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 49.92%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 50.08%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.997. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.167%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.937%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 16:17 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.589%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.16%E -1.10%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.84%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75% | 0.1% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35% | 1.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |