Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-03 17:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 49.92%2.00odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.589%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%49.93%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.34%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 50.08%2.00odd justa
EV +0.167%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.167%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%50.07%50.00%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.51%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 49.92%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 50.08%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.997. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.167%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.937%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:05
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 16:17
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.589%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 17:00
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.16%E -1.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 15:44
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:10
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:59
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.84%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-09-03 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-03 15:20
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-09-03 17:10
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%1.9%2026-09-03 17:10
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-09-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-09-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-09-03 17:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-09-03 17:10