Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 17:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 3–6 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 49.92%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.94%49.93%50.00%51.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.34%52.36%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.08%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.167%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.167%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.07%50.00%51.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.51%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 49.92% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 50.08%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.997. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.000, soit une espérance positive de +0.167%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.167%E +0.084%K +0.167%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.16%E -1.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.937%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:05
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 17:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 16:17
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.589%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 17:00
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.16%E -1.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.84%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 15:44
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.66%E -2.99%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:10
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.84%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 16:59
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.34%E -2.83%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.16%E -2.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.84%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-09-03 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-09-03 17:09
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-03 17:00
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-03 15:20
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-09-03 17:10
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%1.9%2026-09-03 17:10
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-09-03 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-09-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-09-03 17:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-09-03 17:10