Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-02 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 44.97%2.22fair odd
EV +0.293%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.238%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.04%44.96%46.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2350.76%47.52%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 55.03%1.82fair odd
EV -0.954%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.39%54.96%55.04%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.741.8059.52%57.21%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 44.97%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 55.03%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.23, producing a positive expected value of +0.293%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.293%E +0.132%K +0.238%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.606%E -0.274%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.606%E -0.274%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.480%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 00:34
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.480%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 04:54
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.954%E -0.530%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 04:20
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 04:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 00:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:10
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -0.954%E -0.530%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 03:19
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 04:05
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:25
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:40
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:40
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.10%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 04:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 04:04
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.00%E -2.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.00%E -2.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 04:08
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.90%E -3.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 04:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:04
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:04
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 04:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.01%E -4.15%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 04:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.25%E -4.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.15%E -4.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.15%E -4.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.05%E -5.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.56%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -11.40%E -5.79%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-09-02 04:50
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-02 03:20
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-09-02 03:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 02:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%5.7%2026-09-02 04:05
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-09-02 04:05