Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-09-02 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 44.97%2.22momio equitativo
EV +0.293%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.238%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%45.04%44.96%46.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.102.102.2350.76%47.52%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 55.03%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.954%
Ventaja -0.530%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.39%54.96%55.04%56.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.741.8059.52%57.21%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 44.97%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 55.03%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.22. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.23, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.293%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.293%E +0.132%K +0.238%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.606%E -0.274%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.606%E -0.274%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.480%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 00:34
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.480%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 04:54
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.954%E -0.530%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 04:20
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 04:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 00:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:10
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -0.954%E -0.530%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 03:19
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 04:05
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 04:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:25
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:40
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:40
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.10%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 04:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 04:04
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 04:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.91%E -3.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.00%E -2.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.00%E -2.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 04:08
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.90%E -3.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 04:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:04
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:04
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -7.35%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -1.50%E -0.841%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 04:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.01%E -4.15%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 04:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.25%E -4.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.15%E -4.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.15%E -4.53%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.05%E -5.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.56%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -11.40%E -5.79%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -5.36%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-09-02 04:50
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-02 03:20
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-09-02 03:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 02:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-09-02 05:00
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-09-02 04:05