Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-02 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 0–11 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 45.45%2.20odd justa
EV -0.012%
Vantagem -0.005%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.01%45.39%45.49%47.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.44%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 54.55%1.83odd justa
EV -0.718%
Vantagem -0.394%
Kelly -0.875%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.36%54.61%54.51%55.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.751.751.8260.24%57.25%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 45.45%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 54.55%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.2003. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.2000, com valor esperado de -0.012%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 21:49
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.83%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.83%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.83%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.83%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -1.83%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.26%E -0.698%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-02 22:25
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.81%E -1.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 22:10
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.81%E -1.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 22:09
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 19:49
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 19:50
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:30
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.81%E -1.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.74%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.72%E -3.93%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:05
theScore Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.19%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.90%E -1.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 20:39
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.10%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 22:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 08:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:04
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 08:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 22:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.08%E -2.92%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 05:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.63%E -3.25%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.56%E -2.17%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.47%E -2.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.92%E -2.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:05
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.92%E -2.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:10
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.92%E -2.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.99%E -2.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:05
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -5.92%E -2.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -9.45%E -5.69%K -14.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.81%E -1.00%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 22:05
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.83%E -3.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.17%E -3.59%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.81%E -4.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 22:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.718%E -0.394%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.10%E -4.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.54%E -2.59%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%0.4%2026-09-02 22:30
BetOpenly◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-09-02 21:55
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-09-02 22:15
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-09-02 22:30
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 22:05
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-09-02 22:15