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Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -0.971%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.19%51.04%52.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.851.9457.14%53.72%53.91%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.129%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.48%48.81%48.96%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0453.48%50.98%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 51.05%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 48.95%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.043. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.040, with an expected value of -0.134%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -0.971%E -0.500%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.971%E -0.500%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.48%E -0.767%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.48%E -0.767%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.52%E -1.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.624%E -0.307%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 22:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.05%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.134%E -0.066%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.134%E -0.066%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.05%E -2.07%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.11%E -0.551%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.11%E -0.551%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.11%E -0.551%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 20:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 23:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -8.63%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -8.63%E -4.82%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -10.67%E -6.10%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |