默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v San Diego Padres

2026-08-15 23:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 52.39%1.91公平赔率

EV -2.03%

优势 -1.09%

Kelly -2.34%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布

51.32%52.48%52.41%53.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.821.831.8756.82%55.00%54.64%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 47.61%2.10公平赔率

EV -0.016%

优势 -0.008%

Kelly -0.015%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

46.56%47.52%47.59%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.932.002.002.1051.81%50.06%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cleveland Guardians (主队)：52.39%；San Diego Padres (客队)：47.61%。对于“San Diego Padres (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.1003。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.1000，期望值为-0.016%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.03%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.92%E -0.932%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-15 08:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.03%E -1.09%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.28%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-15 06:40
TAB🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 05:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 07:34
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.016%E -0.008%K -0.015%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-15 06:44
FanDuel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 03:34
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 08:14
Svenska Spel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 08:14
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 08:14
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-15 08:14
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.30%E -2.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-15 04:09
Betway🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 03:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 03:39
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 06:34
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 07:39
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 07:39
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 07:39
Unibet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
Casumo🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
ATG (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
betPARX🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:14
NordicBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 03:54
Betsson🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 03:54
PlayUp🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 08:34
Neds🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 07:38
Bet Right🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.83%E -1.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-15 03:44
Coolbet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-15 03:39
TABtouch🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-15 08:13
Marathon Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.18%E -2.86%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-15 08:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.40%E -1.17%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-15 03:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:34
SportsBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:34
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:34
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 03:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 05:14
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 03:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-15 08:14
Virgin Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-15 08:13
betano_uk🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 03:38
Bet Victor🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 03:38
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-15 07:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.44%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.63%E -3.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-15 05:14
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.80%E -4.43%K -10.26%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.63%E -3.94%K -8.12%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-15 03:50
Grosvenor🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.80%E -4.43%K -10.26%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.11%E -4.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-15 08:13

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-08-15 08:20
Novig◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%	1.5%	2026-08-15 08:10
ProphetX◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%	2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%	1.6%	2026-08-15 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%	2.0%	2026-08-15 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%	2.0%	2026-08-15 06:35
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%	2.1%	2026-08-15 08:24
Matchbook◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%	2.6%	2026-08-15 06:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%	2.9%	2026-08-15 06:39
Smarkets◎	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%	3.4%	2026-08-15 06:39

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