The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

2026-07-22 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.261%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.67%53.60%53.42%54.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.781.8659%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.40%46.58%47.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.1052%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.486%E -0.261%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.75%E -1.81%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 19:20
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.82%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 18:45
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.82%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.75%E -1.81%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 18:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 18:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:55
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.23%E -2.36%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.14%E -2.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 19:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 18:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 19:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:15
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 22:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -5.30%E -2.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -5.61%E -2.76%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:18
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.82%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 18:15
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:14
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.51%E -4.98%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.33%E -4.78%K -9.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.05%E -5.32%K -12.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.79%E -5.05%K -10.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-21 22:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-21 21:05
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-21 22:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%9.8%2026-07-21 19:20