La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 56.40%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.36%56.41%57.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.01%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 43.60%2.29momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.494%
Kelly +0.868%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.14%43.64%43.59%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.192.202.3248.08%45.72%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV +1.15%E +0.494%K +0.868%G +0.010% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.709%E +0.307%K +0.541%G +0.004% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.709%E +0.307%K +0.541%G +0.004% | 2.5% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Everygame | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.599%E -0.263%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-22 19:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 18:55 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 20:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:10 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 19:10 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 20:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 19:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.83%E -2.70%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 19:54 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.29%E -0.740%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 18:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 19:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 18:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 19:15 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 19:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-22 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-22 22:33 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.32%E -4.48%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-22 22:34 |