A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-22 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–10 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 56.40%1.77odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.740%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%56.36%56.41%57.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.01%59.17%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 43.60%2.29odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.494%
Kelly +0.868%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.14%43.64%43.59%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.082.192.202.3248.08%45.72%45.45%43.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV +1.15%E +0.494%K +0.868%G +0.010%2.3%2026-07-22 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.709%E +0.307%K +0.541%G +0.004%2.5%2026-07-22 22:19
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV +0.709%E +0.307%K +0.541%G +0.004%2.5%2026-07-22 22:19
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.273%E +0.119%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.599%E -0.263%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 22:29
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-22 19:05
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.47%E -0.651%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:25
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 19:54
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 19:54
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.91%E -0.847%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 18:59
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 21:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 18:55
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 19:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 22:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:54
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 19:09
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 19:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 19:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 20:19
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:30
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:54
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:54
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:09
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:09
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 19:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 18:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.09%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 20:44
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 19:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 21:05
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 21:24
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.83%E -2.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 19:54
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.29%E -0.740%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:54
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 18:44
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 19:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.27%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:39
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 18:53
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:54
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.57%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.42%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:15
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 19:04
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 22:33
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.45%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 22:33
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.32%E -4.48%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-22 22:39
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-22 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-22 22:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-22 21:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-22 22:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-07-22 22:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-07-22 22:34