Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 57.01%1.75fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.86%57.04%57.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.61%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 42.99%2.33fair odd
EV -0.255%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.193%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.14%43.14%42.96%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.16%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.01%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 42.99%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.255%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.38%E -0.797%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.255%E -0.110%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 09:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.13%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 15:15 |
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