Idioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 57.01%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.797%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%56.86%57.04%57.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.61%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 42.99%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.255%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.193%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.14%43.14%42.96%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.16%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.01%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 42.99%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.32, con un valor esperado de -0.255%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.38%E -0.797%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.255%E -0.110%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 09:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.13%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 15:15 |