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Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.01%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.38%
Преимущество -0.797%
Kelly -1.89%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.56%56.86%57.04%57.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.61%59.52%57.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Minnesota Twins (Гости)
Прогноз 42.99%2.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.255%
Преимущество -0.110%
Kelly -0.193%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.14%43.14%42.96%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.16%45.45%43.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева): 57.01%; Minnesota Twins (Гости): 42.99%. Для исхода «Minnesota Twins (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.33. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.32, математическое ожидание — -0.255%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.38%E -0.797%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.11%E -0.485%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.52%E -1.47%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.54%E -0.675%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-23 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.83%E -1.25%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -0.255%E -0.110%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.66%E -2.17%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-23 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.40%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.55%E -2.05%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 09:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.71%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.13%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 0.2% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-23 15:15 |