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Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 55.62%1.80fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.80%55.61%55.70%56.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.721.7959.88%58.14%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV -0.137%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.61%44.39%44.30%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.53%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.62%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 44.38%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.253. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.250, with an expected value of -0.137%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.446%E -0.249%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.56%E -0.881%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-27 23:25
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.47%E -0.662%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:00
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:45
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 22:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.137%E -0.061%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 00:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 22:05
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 21:25
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:00
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.86%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.24%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.01%E -3.55%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.01%E -3.55%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.01%E -3.55%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.46%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.91%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-28 00:01
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-28 00:01
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%6.5%2026-08-28 00:50
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%9.3%2026-08-28 00:50
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%12.2%2026-08-28 00:50