Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 55.86%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.005%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.80%55.91%55.73%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7960.61%58.28%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.14%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.692%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.554%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.09%44.27%45.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.52%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.86%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 44.14%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.7901. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.7900, con un valor esperado de -0.005%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.006%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 21:00
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.02%E -0.908%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:00
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.68%E -0.955%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:45
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.24%E -1.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.692%E -0.308%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 01:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.692%E -0.308%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 00:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.80%E -1.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 01:10
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:10
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:10
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 01:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 21:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.36%E -1.94%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 01:29
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.92%E -2.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 21:25
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 00:55
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 21:00
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.47%E -2.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:25
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 01:10
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.99%E -2.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 00:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.11%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 00:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.27%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -9.08%E -4.41%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.27%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.83%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.83%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.52%E -4.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 00:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-28 01:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-28 00:01
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-28 00:01
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%5.0%2026-08-28 01:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%9.6%2026-08-28 01:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%10.7%2026-08-28 01:30