Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-08-28 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 0–3 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 55.30%1.81odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.882%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%55.36%55.27%57.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.711.7861.73%58.28%58.31%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.70%2.24odd justa
EV -0.315%
Vantagem -0.141%
Kelly -0.256%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.97%44.64%44.73%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.42%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.30%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 44.70%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.23, com valor esperado de -0.315%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.57%E -0.882%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 19:25
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.57%E -0.882%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.10%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 23:00
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.57%E -0.882%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.57%E -0.882%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.57%E -0.882%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.00%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 09:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 14:10
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 14:35
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:10
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.10%E -0.960%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 23:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 08:32
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 11:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.78%E -2.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.21%E -0.547%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 09:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 09:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.68%E -2.69%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 12:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 08:35
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.33%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.34%E -2.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 09:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 08:36
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 21:25
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 20:45
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.34%E -2.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 22:55
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.99%E -3.53%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:10
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.55%E -3.87%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.315%E -0.141%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.84%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.66%E -0.753%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 20:45
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.21%E -4.94%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.60%E -5.30%K -10.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.55%E -1.17%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.55%E -1.17%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -10.42%E -6.43%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -4.34%E -2.03%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%0.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-28 23:10
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-28 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-28 23:09
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-28 09:05
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-08-28 23:05
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-28 22:55