Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 59.89%1.67fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.91%59.95%60.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.59%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.445%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.23%40.09%40.05%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.382.382.5143.86%42.10%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.89%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 40.11%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.672%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%EV +0.672%E +0.268%K +0.445%G +0.003% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.532%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.33%E -0.542%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.18%E -0.714%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.14%E -0.875%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 19:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.77%E -5.04%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |