Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 20:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 3–8 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 59.89%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%59.91%59.95%60.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.59%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.11%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.672%
Avantage +0.268%
Kelly +0.445%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.23%40.09%40.05%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.382.382.5143.86%42.10%42.02%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 59.89% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 40.11%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.51, soit une espérance positive de +0.672%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%EV +0.672%E +0.268%K +0.445%G +0.003%1.6%2026-08-29 19:54
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.532%E -0.214%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -0.933%E -0.378%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.33%E -0.542%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.18%E -0.714%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-29 16:45
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.73%E -0.708%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 16:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.14%E -0.875%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 19:59
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 20:10
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 20:08
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 20:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 16:50
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:09
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:15
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:15
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 19:14
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.77%E -3.00%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.75%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.37%E -3.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.57%E -2.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.95%E -3.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.17%E -2.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 19:58
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.17%E -4.62%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.57%E -4.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.15%E -3.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.77%E -5.04%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-29 20:10
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-08-29 20:10
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-29 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-29 20:05
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-29 16:45
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-29 20:10
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-29 20:10
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-29 20:09