Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 59.27%1.69fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.46%59.34%59.27%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.04%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 40.73%2.46fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.66%40.73%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.352.352.4043.86%42.61%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.27%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 40.73%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.02%E -0.612%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.80%E -1.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.87%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 11:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |