La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 59.27%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.46%59.34%59.27%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.04%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 40.73%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%40.66%40.73%41.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.352.352.4043.86%42.61%42.55%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.02%E -0.612%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.80%E -1.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.87%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 11:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:44 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 15:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 00:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 23:45 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:30 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 15:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |