Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-17 17:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 10–3 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 59.27%1.69odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.612%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.46%59.34%59.27%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.04%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 40.73%2.46odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%40.66%40.73%41.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.352.352.4043.86%42.61%42.55%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.27%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 40.73%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.67, com valor esperado de -1.02%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.02%E -0.612%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 15:24
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:19
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.62%E -0.973%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 17:39
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:25
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.80%E -1.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:24
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.87%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:49
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:39
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 11:44
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:44
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:25
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.58%E -2.84%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.935%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 15:25
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.09%E -2.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.13%E -3.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 21:25
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 23:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-05-17 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-17 17:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-17 16:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-17 16:30
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-05-17 17:40
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%1.8%2026-05-17 15:24
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-05-17 17:30