默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

开赛时间: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Chicago White Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 55.87%1.79公平赔率
EV -0.550%
优势 -0.309%
Kelly -0.705%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
54.69%55.89%55.84%57.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.701.701.7861.73%58.77%58.82%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago White Sox (客队)

预测 44.13%2.27公平赔率
EV -0.710%
优势 -0.315%
Kelly -0.568%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.97%44.11%44.16%45.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.21%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):55.87%;Chicago White Sox (客队):44.13%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.79。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.78,期望值为-0.550%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.550%E -0.309%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.67%E -0.947%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 23:09
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 23:09
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.710%E -0.315%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 20:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:45
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 22:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:10
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 17:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.37%E -5.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 23:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-04 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-04 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-07-04 23:10