مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

البداية: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Chicago White Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.87%1.79السعر العادل
EV -0.550%
الأفضلية -0.309%
Kelly -0.705%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.69%55.89%55.84%57.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7861.73%58.77%58.82%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago White Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.13%2.27السعر العادل
EV -0.710%
الأفضلية -0.315%
Kelly -0.568%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.97%44.11%44.16%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.21%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.550%E -0.309%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 22:24
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.67%E -0.947%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 23:09
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 23:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:09
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:29
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.710%E -0.315%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 20:15
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:45
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:00
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 22:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 22:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:45
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:10
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 17:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 22:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.37%E -5.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-04 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-04 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-07-04 23:10