Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 55.87%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.550%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.705%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%55.89%55.84%57.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7861.73%58.77%58.82%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.13%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.710%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%44.11%44.16%45.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.21%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 55.87% ; Chicago White Sox (Visiteur) : 44.13%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.78, pour une espérance de -0.550% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.550%E -0.309%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.67%E -0.947%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 23:09
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 23:09
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.03%E -0.916%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.78%E -1.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 21:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:00
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.710%E -0.315%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-04 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 20:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:45
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 22:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:05
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:10
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.59%E -0.714%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 23:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 17:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.92%E -1.33%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.25%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.68%E -2.17%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.37%E -5.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.49%E -5.86%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -6.45%E -3.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-04 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-04 23:05
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-07-04 23:10