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Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-09-15 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%53.88%53.85%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.48%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.12%46.15%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.072.072.1352.08%48.39%48.31%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 53.89%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 46.11%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -1.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.39%E -0.757%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.39%E -0.757%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-14 22:30
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.46%E -1.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.78%E -0.836%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.46%E -1.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.46%E -1.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 00:30
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.46%E -1.36%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 00:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 00:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 01:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:00
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 01:44
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 22:44
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 20:45
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:45
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 01:44
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 19:15
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 18:57
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 21:35
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.24%E -3.58%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.93%E -2.91%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 01:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.77%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 18:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.77%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.77%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.77%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.46%E -5.97%K -12.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-14 21:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-14 21:35
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-14 21:35
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-09-15 01:35
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-09-14 23:15
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%8.1%2026-09-15 01:50