L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 7–6 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 58.34%1.71cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +2.80%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.31%58.23%58.23%59.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.631.7564.10%61.13%61.35%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.66%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.437%
Avantage -0.183%
Kelly -0.315%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.45%41.77%41.77%45.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.292.302.3948.08%43.73%43.48%41.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 58.34% ; Chicago White Sox (Visiteur) : 41.66%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.75, soit une espérance positive de +2.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +2.10%E +1.20%K +2.80%G +0.059%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -13.35%E -6.42%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:50
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.235%E -0.138%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -4.60%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 16:05
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.40%E -0.830%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.94%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.99%E -1.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 19:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.437%E -0.183%K -0.315%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:55
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.854%E -0.359%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.52%E -3.39%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:30
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:35
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:44
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.60%E -4.42%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:39
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 20:14
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.99%E -5.76%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.10%E -3.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.99%E -5.76%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.44%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-15 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.42%1.0%2026-09-15 22:39
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 19:31
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 22:40
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-15 22:40
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-15 22:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-09-15 22:00