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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-09-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 7–6 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 58.34%1.71odd justa
EV +2.10%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +2.80%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.31%58.23%58.23%59.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.641.631.7564.10%61.13%61.35%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 41.66%2.40odd justa
EV -0.437%
Vantagem -0.183%
Kelly -0.315%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.45%41.77%41.77%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.292.302.3948.08%43.73%43.48%41.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 58.34%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 41.66%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.71. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.10%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +2.10%E +1.20%K +2.80%G +0.059%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -13.35%E -6.42%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:50
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.235%E -0.138%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -4.60%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 16:05
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.40%E -0.830%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.94%E -1.26%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.99%E -1.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-15 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 19:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.437%E -0.183%K -0.315%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:55
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.854%E -0.359%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-15 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.52%E -3.39%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.74%E -2.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:29
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:30
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:35
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.44%E -2.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:44
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.60%E -4.42%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:39
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.10%E -0.895%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.35%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.49%E -3.39%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.27%E -0.536%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 20:14
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.35%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.99%E -5.76%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.10%E -3.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.99%E -5.76%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.44%E -4.85%K -9.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-09-15 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.42%1.0%2026-09-15 22:39
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 19:31
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-15 22:40
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-15 22:40
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-15 22:40
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-09-15 22:00