Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 61.29%1.63fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.38%61.55%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.75%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +3.69%
Growth +0.238%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%38.62%38.45%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.432.7543.48%40.70%41.15%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 61.29%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 38.71%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.74%E -8.15%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.45%E +2.35%K +3.69%G +0.238% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.51%E +1.67%K +2.66%G +0.120% | 3.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020% | 2.5% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020% | 2.5% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.42%E +0.541%K +0.875%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV +1.03%E +0.395%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 2.8% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -0.518%E -0.202%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.29%E -0.507%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.68%E -0.661%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-14 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.07%E -0.817%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.32%E -0.821%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.84%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.20%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.79% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.21% | -0.5% | 2026-09-14 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-14 22:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 2.3% | 2026-09-14 22:35 |