L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 3–7 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 61.29%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.821%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%61.38%61.55%65.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.75%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.71%2.58cote équitable
EV +6.45%
Avantage +2.35%
Kelly +3.69%
Croissance +0.238%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%38.62%38.45%40.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.432.7543.48%40.70%41.15%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 61.29% ; Chicago White Sox (Visiteur) : 38.71%. Pour Chicago White Sox (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.58. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.74%E -8.15%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.45%E +2.35%K +3.69%G +0.238%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.51%E +1.67%K +2.66%G +0.120%3.7%2026-09-14 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020%2.5%2026-09-14 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020%2.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.42%E +0.541%K +0.875%G +0.012%4.4%2026-09-14 22:40
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV +1.03%E +0.395%K +0.640%G +0.007%2.8%2026-09-14 22:35
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -0.518%E -0.202%K -0.330%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.29%E -0.507%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:39
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.68%E -0.661%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:39
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.07%E -0.817%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 22:14
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.32%E -0.821%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.84%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 22:40
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 22:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:30
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 22:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.20%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 22:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.79%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.21%-0.5%2026-09-14 22:39
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-14 22:30
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-09-14 22:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-14 22:35