默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 22:41 UTC

最终结果： Cleveland Guardians 3–7 Chicago White Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 61.29%1.63公平赔率

EV -1.32%

优势 -0.821%

Kelly -2.17%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布

59.74%61.38%61.55%65.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.441.541.551.6169.44%64.75%64.52%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago White Sox (客队)

预测 38.71%2.58公平赔率

EV +6.45%

优势 +2.35%

Kelly +3.69%

增长率 +0.238%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布

34.37%38.62%38.45%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.302.462.432.7543.48%40.70%41.15%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cleveland Guardians (主队)：61.29%；Chicago White Sox (客队)：38.71%。对于“Chicago White Sox (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.58。当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.75，对应+6.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
betfred_uk🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.74%E -8.15%K -26.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.45%E +2.35%K +3.69%G +0.238%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
TAB🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +4.51%E +1.67%K +2.66%G +0.120%	3.7%	2026-09-14 22:25
PlayUp🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.58%E +0.973%K +1.56%G +0.040%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020%	2.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +1.80%E +0.686%K +1.11%G +0.020%	2.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
Caesars🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.42%E +0.541%K +0.875%G +0.012%	4.4%	2026-09-14 22:40
GTbets🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV +1.03%E +0.395%K +0.640%G +0.007%	2.8%	2026-09-14 22:35
BetUS🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 22:39
BetAnything🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +0.256%E +0.099%K +0.161%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -0.518%E -0.202%K -0.330%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-14 22:30
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.29%E -0.507%K -0.834%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:39
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.68%E -0.661%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 22:39
Everygame🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.93%E -1.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.07%E -0.817%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-14 22:14
1xBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.32%E -0.821%K -2.17%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.84%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-14 22:20
FanDuel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:25
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-14 22:25
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:30
SportsBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.00%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:25
Bet Right🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-14 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:30
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
Casumo🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
betPARX🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 22:35
TABtouch🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.94%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:40
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:30
Neds🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.87%E -3.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-14 22:05
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-14 22:40
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -8.26%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.16%E -2.00%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.77%E -2.40%K -6.62%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-14 22:40
Grosvenor🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.61%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.06%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.20%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
betano_uk🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-14 22:30
Bet Victor🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-14 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.29%E -6.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-14 22:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.79%	2.70I 37.04%NM 37.21%	-0.5%	2026-09-14 22:39
Novig◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%	0.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	0.6%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%	0.9%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%	0.9%	2026-09-14 22:40
Kalshi◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.2%	2026-09-14 22:25
Polymarket◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.2%	2026-09-14 22:30
ProphetX◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%	1.6%	2026-09-14 22:40
Matchbook◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%	1.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Smarkets◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%	2.3%	2026-09-14 22:35

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

胜负盘

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

Chicago White Sox (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)