Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 48.56%2.06fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.54%48.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.972.0252.63%50.79%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV +0.305%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.322%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.46%51.17%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.841.9557.14%54.06%54.35%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 48.56%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 51.44%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.305%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +0.305%E +0.157%K +0.322%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.36%E -1.69%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.723%E -0.375%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.91%E -0.944%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.79%E -2.99%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 07:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 08:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 05:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |