La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-04-03 20:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 48.56%2.06quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -0.944%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.67%48.54%48.83%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.971.972.0252.63%50.79%50.76%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.44%1.94quota equa
EV +0.305%
Vantaggio +0.157%
Kelly +0.322%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.46%51.17%53.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.851.841.9557.14%54.06%54.35%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +0.305%E +0.157%K +0.322%G +0.001%2.6%2026-04-03 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.36%E -1.69%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.723%E -0.375%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 20:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 20:04
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.91%E -0.944%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:29
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:02
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.79%E -2.99%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 15:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 07:05
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:04
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 20:04
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 08:14
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 09:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 15:40
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 15:39
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:45
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:34
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:35
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 17:35
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 17:35
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 05:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 18:25
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-03 18:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-03 20:05