L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 48.56%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.67%48.54%48.83%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.971.972.0252.63%50.79%50.76%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.44%1.94cote équitable
EV +0.305%
Avantage +0.157%
Kelly +0.322%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.46%51.17%53.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.841.9557.14%54.06%54.35%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +0.305%E +0.157%K +0.322%G +0.001%2.6%2026-04-03 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.209%E -0.108%K -0.222%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.36%E -1.69%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.723%E -0.375%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 20:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 20:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 20:04
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.91%E -0.944%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.27%E -1.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.73%E -4.07%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:29
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:02
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.79%E -2.99%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 15:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 07:05
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 20:05
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 20:04
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 20:04
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 08:14
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 09:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 15:40
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 15:39
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 17:45
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:34
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 17:35
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 17:35
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 17:35
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 05:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 07:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.98%E -5.70%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 18:25
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 20:05
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-03 18:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-04-03 20:05