Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 45.66%2.19fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.201%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%45.54%45.71%45.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.2048.78%47.52%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 54.34%1.84fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.03%54.46%54.29%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.751.8159.17%57.05%57.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 45.66%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 54.34%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 11:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.64%E -0.904%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 03:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 09:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |