A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-05 17:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 45.66%2.19odd justa
EV +0.442%
Vantagem +0.201%
Kelly +0.368%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.44%45.54%45.71%45.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.102.102.2048.78%47.52%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.34%1.84odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.904%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.03%54.46%54.29%56.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.751.751.8159.17%57.05%57.14%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:20
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 16:54
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 16:54
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 14:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:13
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 05:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 11:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 11:15
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.64%E -0.904%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 17:09
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 16:55
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 17:09
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 16:20
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:03
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:09
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:19
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 16:08
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:44
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 03:29
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:44
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 15:45
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 15:09
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 15:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 17:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 02:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 02:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 02:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 12:10
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:09
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:34
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 14:34
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:44
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:44
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:44
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 15:44
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 16:19
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 09:14
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 09:14
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 16:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 15:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-04-05 17:00
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%0.4%2026-04-05 17:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-05 17:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-05 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-05 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-05 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-05 17:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%1.3%2026-04-05 17:10
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-04-05 17:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-05 16:34